President Trump said on Truth Social that a deal to end the war with Iran will be signed on Sunday, with the Strait of Hormuz opening up immediately after. Said Trump: “The Deal is scheduled to get signed tomorrow, and immediately after it is signed, the Hormuz Strait is OPEN TO ALL.”
Unconditional support for Israel now comes with a diplomatic cost.
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“After days of uncertainty and tit-for-tat military strikes, Pakistan’s prime minister said Friday that the United States and Iran have agreed to the terms a peace deal,” the Washington Post reports.
“President Trump promoted the 2026 World Cup as a historic opportunity to showcase the ‘beauty and greatness’ of America while boosting tourism revenues,” the Wall Street Journal reports. “Instead, the kickoff of the first game on U.S. soil on Friday has coincided with airport detentions, visa denials, and global criticism that his hardline immigration policies […]
Upcoming Israeli elections give the U.S. president leverage he can use.
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ISIS in Syria poses a greater threat to America than the Lebanese militant group.
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New York Times: “Strikes early Wednesday destroyed what appears to be a drinking-water facility on Iran’s southern coast, near the Strait of Hormuz… Around the time of the strikes, the U.S. Central Command said in a post on X that it had conducted attacks near the strait ‘with precision munitions from U.S. Air Force and […]
This year's NDAA treats American interests as identical to those of a foreign nation.
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The prime minister is, in an important sense, a man of the people.
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Wall Street Journal: “The U.S. began a fresh wave of attacks on Iran Wednesday, launching strikes against multiple targets on President Trump’s orders, according to the U.S. Central Command.” “U.S. military forces were striking air defenses and radar sites near the Strait of Hormuz, according to a senior U.S. official.” “The Pentagon cast the attacks […]
State of the Union: The Trump administration had signaled the strikes in advance.
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The Economist: “So Mr Trump needs to make a deal with Iran. Forget about anything as good as the pre-war status quo, let alone the deal Barack Obama struck in 2015 to restrain Iran’s nuclear ambitions, which Mr Trump tore up.” “The best Mr Trump can hope for is a makeshift pact to reopen the […]
The Houthis announced they would close the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait to Israeli ships.
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The countries that have borne the brunt of Iranian retaliation have an incentive to diversify their security structures.
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State of the Union: The strikes followed the reported downing of an American helicopter by an Iranian drone.
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“The U.S. launched strikes on Iran Tuesday in retaliation for the downing of a U.S. Apache helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz, according to U.S. Central Command. Targets included Iranian air defenses and radars near the waterway,” the Wall Street Journal reports. “The strikes, which the military said were carried out in self-defense, were directed […]
Kim Jong Un feted Chinese President Xi Jinping with two days of lavish celebrations in Pyongyang, calling ties with China a “top priority” in a clear message that Beijing, not Moscow, remains North Korea’s most important partner, Bloomberg reports.
Even as they make conciliatory comments, the Emiratis are deepening their alignment with the American bloc.
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State of the Union: Increased Russian influence threatens Chinese preeminence in North Korea.
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Wall Street Journal: “As Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu weighed how to respond to waves of Iranian missile attacks Sunday night, President Trump called with a message: Stand down.” “But as it became clear the Israeli leader wouldn’t ignore a direct attack, Trump shifted his tone. Keep it limited, and don’t let it escalate, he […]
Anne Applebaum: “Ukrainian military technology has been evolving rapidly since the first years of the war. But only now are outsiders—in Europe, the United States, the Persian Gulf, and of course Russia—beginning to understand what that evolution means.” “Since 2022, many public arguments about the war, even in Europe and the U.S., have adopted the […]
Wall Street Journal: “Iran has conditioned that deal on an end to the fighting in Lebanon between Israel and its militia ally, Hezbollah. Tehran upped the ante overnight by firing waves of missiles at Israel after Israel attacked Hezbollah’s stronghold in the southern suburbs of Beirut.” “Despite Trump’s effort to calm the growing tensions, Israel […]
Iran announced an end to its wave of attacks against Israel after the two sides exchanged volleys of fire in a tumultuous resumption of violence that tested President Trump’s fragile Middle East ceasefire, the Wall Street Journal reports.
President Trump told the Financial Times that Israel has “no choice” but to accept whatever peace deal he strikes with Iran. Said Trump: “I call the shots. I call all the shots. Netanyahu doesn’t call the shots.”
Wall Street Journal: “North Korea is the world’s most unlikely growth story. Its economy is flourishing in ways not seen in years, aided by arms sales and troop deployments to Russia, supplies and financing from China, and the ability to flout international sanctions to import more energy, components and materials. Chinese leader Xi Jinping traveled […]
Wall Street Journal: “Not long ago, Dan Goldman was a hero of the resistance… Now, Goldman is struggling to hold on to his seat.” “He has been fighting a Democratic primary challenge from Brad Lander, New York City’s former comptroller and a close ally of Mayor Zohran Mamdani. The contest, in a district stretching from […]
Bloomberg: “The US and Iran appear to be making little progress toward an interim deal to end the war Washington and Israel began 100 days ago, as fresh attacks pile pressure on a fragile ceasefire.” “The past week saw the worst flare-up in tensions since the truce started around April 8. Negotiations between Washington and […]
Bloomberg: “A UK poll shows that a new Brexit referendum would reverse the vote that led to Britain’s departure from the European Union a decade ago.” “Fifty-two percent of Britons think the UK should rejoin the EU, according to an Ipsos survey of 1,137 British adults conducted between May 14 and May 20. That’s the […]
Wars often go wrong in unexpected ways. Even well-planned operations can be derailed by surprise events, equipment failures, bad weather, or bad luck. But the disaster that followed President Donald Trump’s decision to attack Iran on February 28 was not a surprise. War-gamed and red-teamed dozens of times over decades, the risks of the campaign […]
The post The Iran War and the Future of…
State of the Union: It was the first attack by Iran against Israel since a ceasefire took effect in April.
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