Tropical Storm Arthur formed about 100 km (60 miles) east-northeast of Port O'Connor, Texas on June 17, 2026 and is forecast to move northeastward along the Gulf Coast before tracking inland over southwestern Louisiana.

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Heavy rainfall, flash flooding, storm surge, and isolated tornadoes are expected across portions of the Gulf Coast as Potential Tropical Cyclone One tracks along the Texas coast on June 17, 2026. While the system is unlikely to develop into a tropical cyclone, it could bring rainfall totals of up to 500 mm (20 inches) to some areas along with the severe weather.

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Heavy rainfall is forecast from South Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley this week. Moderate Risk excessive rainfall outlooks remain in effect across parts of the Gulf Coast as multiple rounds of thunderstorms develop within an unusually moist tropical air mass. Rainfall totals could reach 100 to 150 mm (4 to 6 inches) in some areas, with locally higher amounts possible from June 15 to 17,…

A Slight Risk area for excessive rainfall remains in effect across southeast Texas, the central Gulf Coast, and parts of the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians where slow-moving thunderstorms may produce flash flooding over saturated ground through May 27. Deep Gulf moisture and a slow-moving weather pattern are forecast to fuel multiple rounds of heavy rain from southeast Texas to the…

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