When SuSiE Says '95% Confident', Is It?

_Benchmarking the Honesty of Fine-Mapping Credible Sets_

Fine-mapping has a promise built into its output, and almost nobody checks whether the promise is kept.

When you run SuSiE on a GWAS locus, it hands you a _credible set_ : a small group of variants that, at a stated confidence level like 95%, should contain the true causal variant. That 95% is a claim about reality. Among all the loci…

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A model with R-squared near 0 can still give valid 90% prediction intervals - here's why (and the catch)

I recently calibrated a recovery-rate model that had only two weak features. Its point accuracy was almost nothing — R² basically zero. I expected its uncertainty estimates to be junk too. They weren't: the 90% conformal prediction intervals covered ~89% of held-out outcomes. Valid, just _wide_.

That surprised me enough to nail it down, because it contradicts a belief a lot of us carry around:…

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EU immigration hits record high as foreign-born population surpasses 64 million

By 2025, the number of foreign-born residents in the European Union surpassed a historic milestone, exceeding 64 million. However, detailed data show that migration trends vary significantly from country to country.

Continue reading: https://dailynewshungary.com/eu-immigration-record-high-foreign-borned-64/

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5 Reasons Einstein’s Definition of Insanity is the Definition of Insane.

https://insitze.com/blog-posts/

• Reason #1: Einstein didn’t say it. Though the quote is often attributed to him (and sometimes Mark Twain or Benjamin Franklin), there is no recorded evidence of Einstein himself ever having made this remark. In fact, the earliest documented instance of it being used is allegedly in a 1981 Narcotics Anonymous pamphlet. It also […]

The post 5 Reasons Einstein’s…

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5 Reasons Einstein’s Definition of Insanity is the Definition of Insane.

https://insitze.com/blog-posts/

• Reason #1: Einstein didn’t say it. Though the quote is often attributed to him (and sometimes Mark Twain or Benjamin Franklin), there is no recorded evidence of Einstein himself ever having made this remark. In fact, the earliest documented instance of it being used is allegedly in a 1981 Narcotics Anonymous pamphlet. It also […]

The post 5 Reasons Einstein’s…

A Pox Upon Whoever Spared The Rangers From Nine-Shot Ignominy

The New York Rangers have had a bad enough season as it is, what with being the worst team in the Eastern Conference and all, but charity like this is frankly unbecoming. They left Madison Square Garden Monday night tying a 71-year-old franchise record for fewest shots in a game with nine in a 2-1 loss to the Ottawa Senators, only to head to Toronto this morning for a game against the…

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Is Black Discrimination Due to IQ

1,110 words Conservatives are finally seeing the results of what has been a long overdue reckoning with diversity, equity, and inclusion. Across the economy and the wider institutional landscape, once enthusiastic champions of race-based preference are now retrenching. Major corporations like Walmart, Lowe’s, Meta, and others are scaling back their diversity, equity and inclusion programs […]

Few will be surprised, yet the data on Hungarian corruption remain profoundly depressing

Do you agree with Transparency International’s assessment that Hungary is now the most corrupt member state in the European Union?

#europeanunion #transparencyinternational #corruption

Continue reading: https://dailynewshungary.com/hungary-corruption-transparency-international/

Preventing Homelessness: the Latest Figures for Orkney and Scotland

In Homelessness applications for Orkney over a 6 month period from April to September in 2025 there was a 31% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Taken over a year, however, there was a 4% decrease from 2024. The number of Homelessness applications made in Orkney from January to September 2025 are: The […]

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